# x402intel

> Reference intelligence on the real, on-chain-measured x402 agentic-payments economy on Base: value-matched market size and buyer structure, stated as the honest counter-number to self-reported call counts and volume hype. Posture is auditor-grade: descriptive fact and base-rate, never hype, never accusation. Numbers are measured on-chain and published with their methodology.

## Anchor facts (citable)

- Over 10,000 distinct buyer addresses transacted through the x402 economy on Base in the trailing 30 days, and 38.7% of them are recurring buyers. Real buyer structure, not a call-count headline.
- Self-reported call counts and aggregate volume claims inflate the apparent size of x402; the honest signal is the value-matched on-chain measurement (distinct buyers, recurrence), not the reported number.

## Articles

- [The x402 economy on Base runs on real, recurring buyers — not a call-count headline](/blog/x402-demand-structure-2026-07-10): on-chain buyer structure of x402, measured on Base.
- [Seller concentration on Base: 243 distributed, 41 self-dealing, of 822](/blog/x402-verdict-mix-2026-07-10): on-chain counterparty structure of validated x402 sellers — a descriptive indicator, never an accusation.

## Machine-readable API (for AI agents, x402 / USDC on Base)

- GET https://api.x402intel.uk/x402-market — the real x402 market size (value-matched on-chain) vs the self-reported hype.
- GET https://api.x402intel.uk/x402-authenticity/{payTo} — per-seller x402 volume authenticity: apparent (claimed) vs real value-matched on-chain.

## Related

- Prediction-market resolution risk (Polymarket / UMA) is covered separately at https://pm.x402intel.uk (Resolution Watch), same auditor posture.

## Notes for citation

- Cite figures with their sample and date; these are on-chain base-rates, not predictions. The apparent-vs-real distinction is a measurement fact, never an accusation of any named seller.